UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Chicago, USA
8 Jun 2019
Heavyweight
VS
61%
Tuivasa
39%
Ivanov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tai
Tai Tuivasa
"Bam Bam"
15 – 10
6'2"75" reachSouthpaw33 yrs7-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 43
BI
Blagoy Ivanov
"Baga"
19 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'11"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tuivasa

Tuivasa holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Ivanov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tuivasa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Tuivasa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tuivasa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tuivasa
Ivanov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
73"
33+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Tuivasa
Ivanov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.2
27.2
50.4
Performance Avg
30.0
54
Quality of Victory
25
20
Momentum Score
50
Tuivasa
Ivanov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.0
55%
Strike Accuracy
41%
9.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
18
4
Body
2
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
17Distance16
6Clinch4
0Ground1
Tuivasa
Ivanov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tuivasa
Ivanov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
90
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/25 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Tuivasa
Ivanov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
50
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Tuivasa
Ivanov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tuivasa
Ivanov
Striking9.6 / 0.8Volume1.9 / 8.8Grappling0.3 / 2.4Wrestling0.2 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.5 / 1.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
Tuivasa
Strike Zones
Ivanov
Tuivasa
Attacking
12HEAD4BODY7LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD2BODY1LEGS21 absorbed
Ivanov
Attacking
18HEAD2BODY1LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD4BODY7LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (52% of attacks) — Ivanov absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Ivanov targets the head (86% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tuivasa
RND
Ivanov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Tuivasa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.0W5.2W2.1L5.5L3.3L5.0W5.0W5.0W5.4W6.5W4.5L2.7L4.0L1.9L6.6L6.7L5.5L2017-112019-102022-022024-082026-05
WinLossTrend

Ivanov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.5L4.5W4.9W6.7L5.7L5.1W5.9L6.3L2018-072019-062020-052023-022023-07
WinLossTrend

Tuivasa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Louie SutherlandRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Sub · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

Ivanov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alexandr RomanovRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · Dec · R3
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

News & Media

Tai Tuivasa · Blagoy Ivanov
← Back to fights