METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Chicago, USA
8 Jun 2019
Heavyweight
VS
61%
Tuivasa
39%
Ivanov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Blagoy IvanovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tai Tuivasa · UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tuivasa
→
Actual result
Ivanov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Tuivasa holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Ivanov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tuivasa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Risk flags
Tuivasa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TuivasaIvanov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tuivasa
Ivanov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
73"
33+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Tuivasa
Ivanov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.2
27.2
50.4
Performance Avg
30.0
54
Quality of Victory
25
20
Momentum Score
50
Tuivasa
Ivanov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.6
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
1.1
1.9
Style: Volume
8.8
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
18
4
Body
2
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
17Distance16
6Clinch4
0Ground1
Tuivasa
Ivanov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tuivasa
Ivanov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
90
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Tuivasa
Ivanov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
50
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Tuivasa
Ivanov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tuivasa
Ivanov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
TuivasaIvanov
Strike Zones
Tuivasa
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedIvanov
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (52% of attacks) — Ivanov absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Ivanov targets the head (86% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tuivasa
RND
Ivanov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tuivasa · Last 5
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