METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
22 Jun 2024
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Pavlovich
49%
Volkov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alexander VolkovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sergei Pavlovich · UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pavlovich
→
Actual result
Volkov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pavlovich at 51% vs Volkov at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pavlovich has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Pavlovich's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Volkov has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PavlovichVolkov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pavlovich
Volkov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'7"
84"+
Reach
80"
34+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Pavlovich
Volkov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.5
60.2
62.0
Performance Avg
54.7
53
Quality of Victory
42
72
Momentum Score
88
Pavlovich
Volkov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.3
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
7.7
Style: Pressure
5.7
3.3
Style: Volume
5.5
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
17
1
Body
4
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
16Distance26
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Pavlovich
Volkov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pavlovich
Volkov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
15 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
20/51 fights
Pavlovich
Volkov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
88
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Pavlovich
Volkov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pavlovich
Volkov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
PavlovichVolkov
Strike Zones
Pavlovich
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedVolkov
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pavlovich targets the head (88% of attacks) — Volkov absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Volkov targets the head (65% of attacks) — Pavlovich absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pavlovich
RND
Volkov
0/0R00/0
Pavlovich · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Volkov · Last 5
Upcoming
Rizvan KunievUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jailton AlmeidaDecision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ciryl GaneDecision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06