METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 99: The Comeback
Cologne, Germany
13 Jun 2009
Lightweight
VS
52%
Kelly
48%
Delgado
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Paul KellywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rolando Delgado · UFC 99: The Comeback
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kelly
→
Actual result
Kelly wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kelly at 52% vs Delgado at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Delgado has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Kelly's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KellyDelgado
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kelly
Delgado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'3"
70"
Reach
+77"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kelly
Delgado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
17.6
43.8
Performance Avg
43.0
36
Quality of Victory
50
99
Momentum Score
43
Kelly
Delgado
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
8.0
5.9
Style: Volume
0.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
2
2
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
18Ground0
Kelly
Delgado
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kelly
Delgado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
Kelly
Delgado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Kelly
Delgado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kelly
Delgado
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
KellyDelgado
Strike Zones
Kelly
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedDelgado
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kelly targets the head (85% of attacks) — Delgado absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Delgado targets the head (67% of attacks) — Kelly absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kelly
RND
Delgado
0/0R00/0
Kelly · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Donald CerroneSubmission
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · KO · R2
TJ O'BrienKO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · Dec · R3
Jacob VolkmannDecision
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Matt VeachSubmission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
L · KO · R2
Dennis SiverKO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
Delgado · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Andre WinnerKO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Paul KellyDecision
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06
W · Sub · R2
John PolakowskiSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12