UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II
Chicago, USA
25 Jul 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Villante
49%
Lawlor
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:27
GV
Gian Villante
17 – 14
6'3"76" reachOrthodox40 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
TL
Tom Lawlor
"Filthy"
10 – 6
Well-Rounded43 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Villante

This is a genuine toss-up — Villante at 51% vs Lawlor at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Villante has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Villante's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Villante
Lawlor
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
74"
40+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Villante
Lawlor
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
19.8
40.8
Performance Avg
48.7
42
Quality of Victory
45
33
Momentum Score
75
Villante
Lawlor
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
36%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Villante
Lawlor
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Villante
Lawlor
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
70
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Villante
Lawlor
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
75
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Villante
Lawlor
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Villante
Lawlor
Striking6.5 / 4.4Volume4.2 / 3.8Grappling1.0 / 3.5Wrestling0.7 / 2.4Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure5.2 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Villante
Strike Zones
Lawlor
Villante
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Lawlor
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Villante targets the head (80% of attacks) — Lawlor absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Lawlor targets the head (100% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Villante
RND
Lawlor
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Villante · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.1L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.2W4.0L5.5L4.5W5.5L4.7W2.5L4.0L5.5L3.8L2013-042015-072017-072020-062021-11
WinLossTrend

Lawlor · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W5.0W5.5L2.8L4.5W2.3L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.2W5.5L2008-122010-052012-052015-072016-03
WinLossTrend

Villante · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10

Lawlor · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
W · KO · R2
Gian VillanteRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Michael KuiperRating 5.2
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Francis CarmontRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05

News & Media

Gian Villante · Tom Lawlor
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