METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev
Las Vegas, USA
9 Jul 2022
Heavyweight
VS
22%
Vanderaa
78%
Sherman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:10
★ Official Result
Chase ShermanwinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:10
def. Jared Vanderaa · UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sherman
→
Actual result
Sherman wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Sherman is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sherman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Vanderaa's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sherman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VanderaaSherman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Vanderaa
Sherman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"+
Reach
78"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vanderaa
Sherman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.4
30.1
20.7
Performance Avg
38.4
25
Quality of Victory
46
0
Momentum Score
46
Vanderaa
Sherman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.4
Style: Pressure
6.0
8.3
Style: Volume
2.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
39
6
Body
8
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
35Distance48
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Vanderaa
Sherman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vanderaa
Sherman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/22 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Vanderaa
Sherman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
46
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Vanderaa
Sherman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vanderaa
Sherman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
VanderaaSherman
Strike Zones
Vanderaa
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
51 absorbedSherman
Attacking
51 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vanderaa targets the head (75% of attacks) — Sherman absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Sherman targets the head (76% of attacks) — Vanderaa absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vanderaa
RND
Sherman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Vanderaa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · KO · R3
Chase ShermanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Aleksei OleinikSubmission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiDecision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · KO · R2
Alexandr RomanovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
Sherman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · KO · R3
Jared VanderaaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · Sub · R1
Jake CollierSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01