UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev
Las Vegas, USA
9 Jul 2022
Heavyweight
VS
22%
Vanderaa
78%
Sherman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:10
JV
Jared Vanderaa
12 – 10
6'4"80" reachOrthodox34 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 8
Chase
Chase Sherman
"The Vanilla Gorilla"
16 – 12
Striker2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 30

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sherman

Sherman is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sherman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Sherman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Vanderaa's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sherman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Vanderaa
Sherman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"+
Reach
78"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vanderaa
Sherman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.4
30.1
20.7
Performance Avg
38.4
25
Quality of Victory
46
0
Momentum Score
46
Vanderaa
Sherman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
39
6
Body
8
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
35Distance48
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Vanderaa
Sherman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vanderaa
Sherman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/22 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Vanderaa
Sherman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
46
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Vanderaa
Sherman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vanderaa
Sherman
Striking0.3 / 8.0Volume8.3 / 2.5Grappling2.4 / 0.6Wrestling1.7 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.4 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
Vanderaa
Strike Zones
Sherman
Vanderaa
Attacking
27HEAD6BODY3LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
39HEAD8BODY4LEGS51 absorbed
Sherman
Attacking
39HEAD8BODY4LEGS51 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD6BODY3LEGS36 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vanderaa targets the head (75% of attacks) — Sherman absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Sherman targets the head (76% of attacks) — Vanderaa absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vanderaa
RND
Sherman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Vanderaa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0103.3L6.1W3.5L6.2L1.5L4.0L7.0L2021-022021-102022-042022-10
WinLossTrend

Sherman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L2.8L5.2W4.5W1.5L5.5L4.2L5.2W6.2L5.5L1.5L2.3L5.5W7.0L6.0L2016-082017-112021-042022-072023-05
WinLossTrend

Vanderaa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · KO · R3
Chase ShermanRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · KO · R2
Alexandr RomanovRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10

Sherman · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · KO · R3
Jared VanderaaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · Sub · R1
Jake CollierRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Jared Vanderaa · Chase Sherman
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