UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
Perth, Australia
10 Feb 2018
Heavyweight
VS
28%
Hunt
72%
Blaydes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MH
Mark Hunt
"Super Samoan"
13 – 14
5'10"72" reachOrthodox52 yrs3-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 21
Curtis
Curtis Blaydes
"Razor"
19 – 6
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'4"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Blaydes

Blaydes is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hunt has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Blaydes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hunt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Blaydes has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hunt
Blaydes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'4"
72"
Reach
+80"
52
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hunt
Blaydes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
53.9
53.0
Performance Avg
53.4
55
Quality of Victory
42
91
Momentum Score
81
Hunt
Blaydes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
56%
9.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.4
7 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
30
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance0
1Clinch1
0Ground30
Hunt
Blaydes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hunt
Blaydes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
8
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/27 fights
Chin rating based on
21/25 fights
Hunt
Blaydes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
81
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Hunt
Blaydes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hunt
Blaydes
Striking9.8 / 6.4Volume2.0 / 4.8Grappling0.3 / 1.0Wrestling0.2 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.6 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.4
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Hunt
Strike Zones
Blaydes
Hunt
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD0BODY1LEGS31 absorbed
Blaydes
Attacking
30HEAD0BODY1LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hunt targets the head (100% of attacks) — Blaydes absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Blaydes targets the head (97% of attacks) — Hunt absorbs 97% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hunt
RND
Blaydes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Hunt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0101.5L5.2W4.5W5.0W5.5W4.0L5.1W2.1L5.1L5.0W5.0W4.0L6.6W6.4L1.5L5.5L2010-092013-032015-052017-062018-12
WinLossTrend

Blaydes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2L5.2W4.5W4.2W4.5W5.5W1.9L4.5W5.2W5.1W5.8W3.3L5.6W5.5W7.4W2.7L7.0W3.9L4.8W7.5L2016-042018-062020-062023-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Hunt · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Justin WillisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Sub · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Curtis BlaydesRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · KO · R4
Derrick LewisRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · KO · R3
Alistair OvereemRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03

Blaydes · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Josh HokitRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04

News & Media

Mark Hunt · Curtis Blaydes
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