UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
11 Jul 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Oezdemir
57%
Prochazka
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:49
Volkan
Volkan Oezdemir
"No Time"
21 – 8
6'2"75" reachOrthodox36 yrsStriker
CFR 51
Jiri
Jiri Prochazka
32 – 6
Knockout Artist33 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'3"
CFR 68

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Prochazka

This is a genuine toss-up — Oezdemir at 43% vs Prochazka at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Prochazka has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Prochazka has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Oezdemir's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Prochazka has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Oezdemir
Prochazka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+80"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oezdemir
Prochazka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
68.4
50.8
Performance Avg
60.9
47
Quality of Victory
57
52
Momentum Score
98
Oezdemir
Prochazka
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
64%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Oezdemir
Prochazka
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.3
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oezdemir
Prochazka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
34
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
9/38 fights
Oezdemir
Prochazka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
98
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Oezdemir
Prochazka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Oezdemir
Prochazka
Striking6.7 / 9.7Volume3.8 / 1.3Grappling1.7 / 1.3Wrestling1.2 / 0.9Submission1.1 / 1.7Pressure6.3 / 9.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.7
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
Oezdemir
Strike Zones
Prochazka
Oezdemir
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Prochazka
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Oezdemir targets the head (100% of attacks) — Prochazka absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Prochazka targets the head (86% of attacks) — Oezdemir absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Oezdemir
RND
Prochazka
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Oezdemir · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.1W5.0W5.0W2.1L3.9L6.5L5.2W4.6W4.4L7.0L5.2W6.7L7.0W5.8W7.4L5.9W2017-022018-102020-072023-092025-11
WinLossTrend

Prochazka · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.0W6.2W5.9W4.2L5.4W4.2L6.8W6.4W3.4L2020-072023-112025-012026-04
WinLossTrend

Oezdemir · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nikita KrylovRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10

Prochazka · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R3
Jamahal HillRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

News & Media

Volkan Oezdemir · Jiri Prochazka
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