UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Las Vegas, USA
10 Aug 2024
Featherweight
VS
70%
Zalal
30%
Errens
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:52
Youssef
Youssef Zalal
"The Moroccan Devil"
18 – 6
5'10"72" reachSwitch29 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 55
Jarno
Jarno Errens
14 – 6
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Zalal

Zalal is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Zalal has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Zalal has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Zalal
Errens
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
29+
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Zalal
Errens
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.2
23.7
49.7
Performance Avg
25.0
38
Quality of Victory
25
66
Momentum Score
17
Zalal
Errens
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
51%
Strike Accuracy
40%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
1
Body
3
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Zalal
Errens
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Zalal
Errens
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
4/20 fights
Zalal
Errens
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
17
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Zalal
Errens
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Zalal
Errens
Striking1.3 / 0.5Volume5.3 / 8.5Grappling5.2 / 2.4Wrestling3.6 / 1.7Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Zalal
Strike Zones
Errens
Zalal
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY7LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Errens
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY7LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Zalal targets the legs (70% of attacks) — Errens absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Errens targets the head (50% of attacks) — Zalal absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Zalal
RND
Errens
0/0R00/0

Zalal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.5W4.5W4.5W7.9L5.7L6.6L6.4W5.0W6.0W5.0W5.1W6.5L2020-022020-102024-032025-022026-04
WinLossTrend

Errens · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0106.5L5.7L5.9W2.5L2022-092023-082024-032024-08
WinLossTrend

Zalal · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Josh EmmettRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Jarno ErrensRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

Errens · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Youssef ZalalRating 2.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Steven NguyenRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
William GomisRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09

News & Media

Youssef Zalal · Jarno Errens
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