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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Boise, USA
14 Jul 2018
Women's Flyweight
VS
31%
Carmouche
69%
Maia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LC
Liz Carmouche
"Girlrilla"
137
5'6"66" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
JM
Jennifer Maia
2110
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'4"
CFR 31
★ Official Result
Liz CarmouchewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jennifer Maia · UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maia
Actual result
Carmouche wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Maia holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Carmouche has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
CarmoucheMaia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Carmouche
Maia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
64"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Carmouche
Maia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
30.8
38.6
Performance Avg
37.9
31
Quality of Victory
30
40
Momentum Score
45
Carmouche
Maia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
2.9
Style: Pressure
2.7
7.4
Style: Volume
7.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
5
3
Body
0
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
8Distance6
0Clinch0
6Ground2
Carmouche
Maia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Carmouche
Maia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
12/31 fights
Carmouche
Maia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
45
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Carmouche
Maia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
17%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Carmouche
Maia
Striking3.0 / 1.0Volume7.4 / 7.7Grappling1.9 / 3.3Wrestling1.3 / 2.3Submission0.0 / 1.7Pressure2.9 / 2.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.7
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
Carmouche
Strike Zones
Maia
Carmouche
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY3LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY3LEGS8 absorbed
Maia
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY3LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY3LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Carmouche targets the head (57% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Maia targets the head (63% of attacks) — Carmouche absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Carmouche
RND
Maia
0/0R00/0

Carmouche · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Valentina Shevchenko
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
W · Dec · R3
Lucie Pudilova
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer Maia
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Alexis Davis
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
W · Dec · R3
Katlyn Cerminara
Decision
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11

Maia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Viviane Araujo
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Casey O'Neill
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Maryna Moroz
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Manon Fiorot
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn Cerminara
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Liz Carmouche · Jennifer Maia
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