UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Boise, USA
14 Jul 2018
Women's Flyweight
VS
31%
Carmouche
69%
Maia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Maia
Maia holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Carmouche has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Maia throws more volume but Carmouche connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Carmouche
Maia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
64"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Carmouche
Maia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
31.2
38.6
Performance Avg
38.6
31
Quality of Victory
31
40
Momentum Score
45
Carmouche
Maia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
5
3
Body
0
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
8Distance6
0Clinch0
6Ground2
Carmouche
Maia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Carmouche
Maia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
12/31 fights
Carmouche
Maia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
45
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Carmouche
Maia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
17%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Carmouche
Maia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.7
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
CarmoucheMaia
Strike Zones
Carmouche
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMaia
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Carmouche targets the head (57% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Maia targets the head (63% of attacks) — Carmouche absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Carmouche
RND
Maia
0/0R00/0
Carmouche · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Carmouche · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
W · Dec · R3
Lucie PudilovaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Alexis DavisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
W · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 4.8Decision
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillRating 5.7Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Maryna MorozRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Manon FiorotRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01