UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Vancouver, Canada
18 Oct 2025
Welterweight
VS
40%
Holland
60%
Malott
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Malott
Malott holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Holland has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Malott has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holland
Malott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
81"+
Reach
73"
33+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holland
Malott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
70.1
49.3
Performance Avg
63.2
44
Quality of Victory
47
51
Momentum Score
97
Holland
Malott
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
57%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
10
3
Body
1
9
Leg
0
RangeRange
19Distance7
1Clinch0
0Ground4
Holland
Malott
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holland
Malott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
8/16 fights
Holland
Malott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
97
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Holland
Malott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
71%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
6
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holland
Malott
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
HollandMalott
Strike Zones
Holland
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMalott
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Malott absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Malott targets the head (91% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holland
RND
Malott
0/0R00/0
Holland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Malott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Holland · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 6.7Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
Malott · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Charles RadtkeRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R3
Neil MagnyRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
