★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
Anaheim, USA
22 Jan 2022
Flyweight
VS
48%
Moreno
52%
Figueiredo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Figueiredo
This is a genuine toss-up — Moreno at 48% vs Figueiredo at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Moreno throws more volume but Figueiredo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Moreno's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Figueiredo has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Moreno
Figueiredo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
70"+
Reach
68"
32+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moreno
Figueiredo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.8
56.4
52.5
Performance Avg
57.9
47
Quality of Victory
50
54
Momentum Score
55
Moreno
Figueiredo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
16
3
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
18Distance17
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Moreno
Figueiredo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moreno
Figueiredo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
58
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/33 fights
Chin rating based on
22/31 fights
Moreno
Figueiredo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
55
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Moreno
Figueiredo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
57%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moreno
Figueiredo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
MorenoFigueiredo
Strike Zones
Moreno
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedFigueiredo
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moreno targets the head (76% of attacks) — Figueiredo absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Figueiredo targets the head (89% of attacks) — Moreno absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moreno
RND
Figueiredo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
Moreno · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Figueiredo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Moreno · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Amir AlbaziRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
Figueiredo · Last 5
Upcoming
Song YadongUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

