UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2024
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Oliveira
50%
Sopaj
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:41
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Oliveira
This is a genuine toss-up — Oliveira at 50% vs Sopaj at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sopaj has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Oliveira
Sopaj
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
66"
30
Age
+25
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Oliveira
Sopaj
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.0
54.4
50.8
Performance Avg
49.0
31
Quality of Victory
37
76
Momentum Score
70
Oliveira
Sopaj
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
2.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
60%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
13
6
Body
0
13
Leg
0
RangeRange
42Distance13
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Oliveira
Sopaj
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oliveira
Sopaj
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/27 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Oliveira
Sopaj
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
70
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Oliveira
Sopaj
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oliveira
Sopaj
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
7.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
OliveiraSopaj
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedSopaj
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the head (56% of attacks) — Sopaj absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Sopaj targets the head (100% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oliveira
RND
Sopaj
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Sopaj · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Oliveira · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Mario BautistaRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 5.2Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R3
Benardo SopajRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
Sopaj · Last 3
W · Sub · R2
Timmy CuambaRating 5.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Ricky TurciosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

