UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Washington, USA
1 Oct 2011
Lightweight
VS
39%
Roller
61%
Grant
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:12
SR
Shane Roller
11 – 7
5'10"72" reachOrthodox46 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
TG
TJ Grant
21 – 5
Well-Rounded5-fight win streak42 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Grant

Grant holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Roller has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Grant has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Roller's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Roller
Grant
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
72"
46
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Roller
Grant
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.2
20.8
37.3
Performance Avg
53.5
40
Quality of Victory
41
28
Momentum Score
75
Roller
Grant
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.9
41%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Roller
Grant
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Roller
Grant
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Roller
Grant
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
75
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Roller
Grant
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Roller
Grant
Striking5.7 / 5.2Volume4.7 / 5.5Grappling1.2 / 2.2Wrestling0.8 / 1.5Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure4.5 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Roller
Strike Zones
Grant
Roller
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Grant
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Roller targets the head (100% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Grant targets the head (100% of attacks) — Roller absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Roller
RND
Grant
0/0R00/0

Roller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0105.2W1.5L4.0L5.6L4.5W1.5L2011-032011-072011-102012-012012-072012-10
WinLossTrend

Grant · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W2009-042010-052011-102013-012013-05
WinLossTrend

Roller · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jacob VolkmannRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
John AlessioRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
L · Sub · R3
TJ GrantRating 4
Submission
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
L · KO · R1
Melvin GuillardRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07

Grant · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Gray MaynardRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
W · KO · R1
Matt WimanRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
W · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Carlo PraterRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
W · Sub · R3
Shane RollerRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

News & Media

Shane Roller · TJ Grant
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