METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Washington, USA
1 Oct 2011
Lightweight
VS
39%
Roller
61%
Grant
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:12
★ Official Result
TJ GrantwinsSubmissionR3 · 2:12
def. Shane Roller · UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Grant
→
Actual result
Grant wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Grant holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Roller has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Roller's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RollerGrant
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Roller
Grant
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
72"
47
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Roller
Grant
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.2
20.8
37.3
Performance Avg
53.5
40
Quality of Victory
41
28
Momentum Score
75
Roller
Grant
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
5.7
4.7
Style: Volume
5.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Roller
Grant
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Roller
Grant
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Roller
Grant
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
75
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Roller
Grant
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Roller
Grant
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
RollerGrant
Strike Zones
Roller
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedGrant
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Roller targets the head (100% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Grant targets the head (100% of attacks) — Roller absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Roller
RND
Grant
0/0R00/0
Roller · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jacob VolkmannSubmission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
John AlessioDecision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonDecision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
L · Sub · R3
TJ GrantSubmission
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
L · KO · R1
Melvin GuillardKO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
Grant · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Gray MaynardKO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
W · KO · R1
Matt WimanKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
W · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamDecision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Carlo PraterDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
W · Sub · R3
Shane RollerSubmission
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10