★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
Dallas, USA
15 Mar 2014
Welterweight
VS
30%
Hendricks
70%
Lawler
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
JH
Johny Hendricks
"Bigg Rigg"
18 – 8
5'9"69" reachSouthpaw42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
RL
Robbie Lawler
"Ruthless"
30 – 16
Striker44 yrsSouthpaw74" reach5'11"
CFR 41

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lawler

Lawler is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lawler has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hendricks's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lawler has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hendricks
Lawler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+74"
42+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Hendricks
Lawler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
40.7
48.2
Performance Avg
51.0
39
Quality of Victory
45
80
Momentum Score
90
Hendricks
Lawler
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
17
2
Body
0
10
Leg
0
RangeRange
27Distance17
5Clinch0
2Ground0
Hendricks
Lawler
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hendricks
Lawler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/26 fights
Chin rating based on
25/46 fights
Hendricks
Lawler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
90
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Hendricks
Lawler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
53%
5
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hendricks
Lawler
Striking5.1 / 6.5Volume6.2 / 4.9Grappling1.5 / 1.1Wrestling1.0 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Hendricks
Strike Zones
Lawler
Hendricks
Attacking
22HEAD2BODY10LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD0BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Lawler
Attacking
17HEAD0BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD2BODY10LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hendricks targets the head (65% of attacks) — Lawler absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Lawler targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hendricks
RND
Lawler
0/0R00/0

Hendricks · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.8W5.8L4.9W2.1L5.8L6.1L4.5W2.8L3.8L2009-082011-082014-032017-022017-11
WinLossTrend

Lawler · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.8L4.5W2.8L1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.9W4.5W5.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.7L1.5L6.8L6.1L5.2W3.2L5.7W2002-052013-022015-072020-082023-07
WinLossTrend

Hendricks · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Paulo CostaRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07

Lawler · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08

News & Media

Johny Hendricks · Robbie Lawler
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