METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson
London, United Kingdom
21 Feb 2009
Welterweight
VS
45%
Kelly
55%
Mandaloniz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Paul KellywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Troy Mandaloniz · UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mandaloniz
→
Actual result
Kelly wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kelly at 45% vs Mandaloniz at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Mandaloniz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Risk flags
Kelly's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KellyMandaloniz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kelly
Mandaloniz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
41+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kelly
Mandaloniz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
23.0
43.8
Performance Avg
56.0
36
Quality of Victory
60
99
Momentum Score
71
Kelly
Mandaloniz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
8.5
5.9
Style: Volume
1.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
12
2
Body
0
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance12
1Clinch0
1Ground0
Kelly
Mandaloniz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kelly
Mandaloniz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
2/5 fights
Kelly
Mandaloniz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
71
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Kelly
Mandaloniz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kelly
Mandaloniz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
KellyMandaloniz
Strike Zones
Kelly
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedMandaloniz
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kelly targets the head (58% of attacks) — Mandaloniz absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Mandaloniz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kelly absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kelly
RND
Mandaloniz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kelly · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Donald CerroneSubmission
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W · Sub · R2
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L · KO · R2
Dennis SiverKO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
Mandaloniz · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Paul KellyDecision
UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson · 2009-02
W · KO · R1
Richie HightowerKO/TKO
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