UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2011
Heavyweight
VS
49%
Kongo
51%
Mitrione
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CK
Cheick Kongo
27 – 10
6'4"82" reachOrthodox51 yrsStriker
CFR 21
MM
Matt Mitrione
12 – 5
Knockout Artist2-fight slide47 yrsSwitch82" reach6'3"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mitrione

This is a genuine toss-up — Kongo at 49% vs Mitrione at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Mitrione has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Striking split: Mitrione throws more volume but Kongo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Kongo's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Mitrione has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Kongo
Mitrione
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
82"
Reach
82"
51
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Kongo
Mitrione
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.9
21.9
51.8
Performance Avg
58.4
43
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
82
Kongo
Mitrione
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.1
63%
Strike Accuracy
55%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
2
Body
0
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
4Clinch0
12Ground0
Kongo
Mitrione
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.9
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kongo
Mitrione
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/37 fights
Chin rating based on
14/17 fights
Kongo
Mitrione
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
82
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Kongo
Mitrione
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
89%
6
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kongo
Mitrione
Striking6.8 / 10.0Volume4.2 / 2.2Grappling0.9 / 0.3Wrestling0.6 / 0.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 8.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
Kongo
Strike Zones
Mitrione
Kongo
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY4LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Mitrione
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY4LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kongo targets the head (67% of attacks) — Mitrione absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Mitrione targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kongo absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kongo
RND
Mitrione
0/0R00/0

Kongo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.5L1.5L5.5W5.0W4.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L2006-072008-032009-122012-072013-04
WinLossTrend

Mitrione · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.2W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W6.2W5.0W1.5L4.0L2009-122011-062013-092015-062016-01
WinLossTrend

Kongo · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Roy NelsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
W · Dec · R3
Shawn JordanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Mark HuntRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt MitrioneRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
W · KO · R1
Pat BarryRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06

Mitrione · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Travis BrowneRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
L · Sub · R1
Ben RothwellRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
Gabriel GonzagaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
W · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09
W · KO · R1
Shawn JordanRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03

News & Media

Cheick Kongo · Matt Mitrione
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