UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris
Jacksonville, USA
16 May 2020
Heavyweight
VS
38%
Overeem
62%
Harris
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Harris
Harris holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Overeem has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Harris throws more volume but Overeem connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Overeem's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Harris has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Overeem
Harris
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'5"
80"+
Reach
77"
46
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Overeem
Harris
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
29.6
55.0
Performance Avg
51.0
52
Quality of Victory
58
56
Momentum Score
65
Overeem
Harris
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.9
73%
Strike Accuracy
45%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
9 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
1
3
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
37Ground0
Overeem
Harris
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Overeem
Harris
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/66 fights
Chin rating based on
16/23 fights
Overeem
Harris
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
65
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Overeem
Harris
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
9
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Overeem
Harris
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
OvereemHarris
Strike Zones
Overeem
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedHarris
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Overeem targets the head (90% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Harris targets the head (100% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Overeem
RND
Harris
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Overeem · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Harris · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Overeem · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
Harris · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Alistair OvereemRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05