UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Las Vegas, USA
15 Feb 2025
Lightweight
VS
40%
Bonfim
60%
Sadykhov
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sadykhov
Sadykhov holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Bonfim has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bonfim has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bonfim's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bonfim
Sadykhov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"+
Reach
69"
30+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Bonfim
Sadykhov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
64.5
40.0
Performance Avg
55.9
40
Quality of Victory
40
41
Momentum Score
100
Bonfim
Sadykhov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.6
1.6
56%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
9
5
Body
2
7
Leg
2
RangeRange
24Distance12
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Bonfim
Sadykhov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bonfim
Sadykhov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Bonfim
Sadykhov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · R1
Upcoming
Bonfim
Sadykhov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bonfim
Sadykhov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.6
BonfimSadykhov
Strike Zones
Bonfim
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedSadykhov
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bonfim targets the head (54% of attacks) — Sadykhov absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Sadykhov targets the head (69% of attacks) — Bonfim absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bonfim
RND
Sadykhov
0/0R00/0
Bonfim · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Sadykhov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Bonfim · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Chris PadillaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · R1
Nazim SadykhovRating 5.5UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Vinc PichelRating 4.7Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Sub · R1
Benoit Saint DenisRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
W · KO · R2
Terrance McKinneyRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
Sadykhov · Last 5
Upcoming
Matheus CamiloUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Fares ZiamRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · KO · R2
Nikolas MottaRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · R1
Ismael BonfimRating 4.4UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
Upcoming
Viacheslav BorshchevDecision
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

