UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Las Vegas, USA
2 Oct 2021
Middleweight
VS
50%
Holland
50%
Daukaus
Win Probability
KH
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
29 – 15
6'3"81" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 47
Kyle
Kyle Daukaus
17 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak33 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'2"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Holland

This is a genuine toss-up — Holland at 50% vs Daukaus at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Holland has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Daukaus has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Holland
Daukaus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
81"+
Reach
76"
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Holland
Daukaus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
47.7
49.3
Performance Avg
49.0
44
Quality of Victory
48
51
Momentum Score
33
Holland
Daukaus
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.0
52%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
5
0
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
1Clinch4
0Ground3
Holland
Daukaus
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
6
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holland
Daukaus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
52
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
10/21 fights
Holland
Daukaus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
33
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Holland
Daukaus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
75%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holland
Daukaus
Striking4.3 / 3.5Volume3.6 / 3.0Grappling3.8 / 4.6Wrestling2.6 / 3.2Submission3.8 / 5.0Pressure6.5 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Holland
Strike Zones
Daukaus
Holland
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Daukaus
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (67% of attacks) — Daukaus absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Daukaus targets the head (56% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holland
RND
Daukaus
0/0R00/0

Holland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5W5.6W4.5W4.1L6.4W6.7W4.5W5.0W5.0W5.8L6.3L5.2W5.3W3.4L3.9L6.0W5.8W7.0L6.3L6.0W2.9L2.5L5.6W6.7W6.4L7.3L5.4W2018-082020-092022-092024-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Daukaus · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0106.8L4.5W5.5L5.0W2.9L3.5L5.6W6.1W2020-062021-052022-062025-082025-11
WinLossTrend

Holland · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 6.7
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

Daukaus · Last 5

Upcoming
Bo Nickal
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Michel PereiraRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · KO · R2
Eryk AndersRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R1
Roman DolidzeRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06

News & Media

Kevin Holland · Kyle Daukaus
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