UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2
Fortaleza, Brazil
2 Feb 2019
Welterweight
VS
61%
Maia
39%
Good
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:38
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Maia
Maia holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Good has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Good has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Good has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Maia
Good
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+74"
48
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Good
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
21.0
50.8
Performance Avg
53.0
40
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
59
Maia
Good
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
2.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
53%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Maia
Good
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Good
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
6/27 fights
Maia
Good
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Maia
Good
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
11
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
Good
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
Good
0/0R00/0
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Good · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
Good · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · KO · R3
Chance RencountreRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R1
Demian MaiaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Ben SaundersRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07