UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
Charlotte, USA
27 Jan 2018
Lightweight
VS
45%
Pichel
55%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
This is a genuine toss-up — Pichel at 45% vs Silva at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Silva throws more volume but Pichel connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pichel's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pichel
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
69"
43
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pichel
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.5
47.9
41.3
Performance Avg
46.0
30
Quality of Victory
38
40
Momentum Score
67
Pichel
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
20
9
Body
7
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance27
5Clinch1
0Ground0
Pichel
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pichel
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
30
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/19 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Pichel
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
67
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Pichel
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
43%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pichel
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
PichelSilva
Strike Zones
Pichel
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedSilva
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pichel targets the head (43% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (71% of attacks) — Pichel absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pichel
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Pichel · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Pichel · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Ismael BonfimRating 5.9Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Mark MadsenRating 5.7Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
Silva · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 5Decision
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L · KO · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 5.6KO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
Jesse RonsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
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