Anthony Hernandez vs Marc-Andre Barriault — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song

Las Vegas, USA

17 Sept 2022

Middleweight

61%

Hernandez

39%

Barriault

Win Probability

Submission

Round 3 · 1:53

Anthony Hernandez

"Fluffy"

15 – 3

6'0"75" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter

CFR 56

Marc-Andre Barriault

"Powerbar"

17 – 11

Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"

CFR 36

★ Official Result

Anthony HernandezwinsSubmissionR3 · 1:53

def. Marc-Andre Barriault · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Hernandez

→

Actual result

Hernandez wins

Submission · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Hernandez holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Barriault has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Hernandez's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Barriault has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

HernandezBarriault

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Hernandez

Barriault

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'0"

Height

+6'1"

75"+

Reach

74"

32+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Hernandez

Barriault

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

55.8

35.6

53.9

Performance Avg

41.9

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Hernandez

Barriault

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.6

/ 10

5.8

/ 10

7.5

Style: Pressure

5.8

3.2

Style: Volume

3.4

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

2Distance1

0Clinch1

0Ground0

Hernandez

Barriault

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.0

/ 10

2.1

/ 10

3.5

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.5

5.6

Submission Style (/10)

1.7

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Hernandez

Barriault

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

4 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

13/18 fights

Chin rating based on

18/28 fights

Hernandez

Barriault

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R5

L · KO · R3

W · Sub · R4

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R5

Last 5

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

L · KO · R1

Hernandez

Barriault

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

78%

67%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hernandez

Barriault

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.6

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.8

5.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.1

3.5

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.5

5.6

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.7

7.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.8

3.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.4

Hernandez

Strike Zones

Barriault

Hernandez

Attacking

2 landed

Absorbing

2 absorbed

Barriault

Attacking

2 landed

Absorbing

2 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Hernandez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Barriault absorbs 50% of strikes there

🎯Barriault targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hernandez

RND

Barriault

0/0R00/0

Hernandez · Last 5

L · Dec · R5

Gregory Rodrigues

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08

L · KO · R3

Sean Strickland

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02

W · Sub · R4

Roman Dolidze

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08

W · Dec · R3

Brendan Allen

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

W · KO · R5

Michel Pereira

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

Barriault · Last 5

Upcoming

Kyle Daukaus

UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10

L · Dec · R3

Michal Oleksiejczuk

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02

L · Dec · R3

Shara Magomedov

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07

W · KO · R1

Bruno Silva

KO/TKO

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05

L · KO · R1

Dustin Stoltzfus

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11

News & Media

Anthony Hernandez · Marc-Andre Barriault

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