UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song
Las Vegas, USA
17 Sept 2022
Middleweight
VS
64%
Hernandez
36%
Barriault
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:53
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hernandez
Hernandez holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Barriault has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Barriault throws more volume but Hernandez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hernandez's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barriault has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hernandez
Barriault
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"+
Reach
74"
32+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hernandez
Barriault
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.7
35.6
56.2
Performance Avg
41.9
44
Quality of Victory
45
98
Momentum Score
13
Hernandez
Barriault
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.5
66%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Hernandez
Barriault
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hernandez
Barriault
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
18/28 fights
Hernandez
Barriault
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
13
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Hernandez
Barriault
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
5
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hernandez
Barriault
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
5.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
HernandezBarriault
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedBarriault
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hernandez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Barriault absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Barriault targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hernandez
RND
Barriault
0/0R00/0
Hernandez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Barriault · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Hernandez · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Sean StricklandRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R4
Roman DolidzeRating 6.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R5
Michel PereiraRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R2
Roman KopylovRating 6.2Submission
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Barriault · Last 5
Upcoming
Brad TavaresUFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michal OleksiejczukRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Bruno SilvaRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Dustin StoltzfusRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
