UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Shanghai, China
23 Aug 2025
Flyweight
VS
68%
32%
Borjas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge:
holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Borjas has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Borjas has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Borjas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
72"+
Reach
68"
30
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Borjas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.6
22.3
42.5
Performance Avg
23.0
31
Quality of Victory
25
75
Momentum Score
15
Borjas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.1
52%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
2
7
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
21Distance2
3Clinch2
0Ground0
Borjas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Borjas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/26 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Borjas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
15
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Borjas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Borjas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
Strike Zones
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedBorjas
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (54% of attacks) — Borjas absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Borjas targets the head (50% of attacks) — absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
RND
Borjas
0/0R00/0
· QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Borjas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
· Last 5
Upcoming
Alex PerezUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jesus AguilarRating 5.4Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin BorjasRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Mitch RaposoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
Borjas · Last 5
Upcoming
Andre LimaUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Imanol RodriguezRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
SumudaerjiRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Ronaldo RodriguezRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Alessandro CostaRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

