Arman Tsarukyan vs Damir Ismagulov — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland

Las Vegas, USA

17 Dec 2022

Lightweight

66%

Tsarukyan

34%

Ismagulov

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Arman Tsarukyan

"Ahalkalakets"

23 – 3

5'7"72" reachOrthodox29 yrs5-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 68

Damir Ismagulov

"Qazaq"

24 – 3

Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"

CFR 35

★ Official Result

Arman TsarukyanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Damir Ismagulov · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Tsarukyan

→

Actual result

Tsarukyan wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Tsarukyan holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Ismagulov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tsarukyan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

TsarukyanIsmagulov

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Tsarukyan

Ismagulov

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"

Height

+5'10"

72"

Reach

+74"

29+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Tsarukyan

Ismagulov

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

67.5

35.4

58.4

Performance Avg

43.6

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Tsarukyan

Ismagulov

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.7

/ 10

1.4

/ 10

6.0

Style: Pressure

2.1

5.7

Style: Volume

9.4

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

13Distance6

0Clinch6

0Ground0

Tsarukyan

Ismagulov

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.0

/ 10

2.4

/ 10

1.4

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.7

1.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Tsarukyan

Ismagulov

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

13/26 fights

Chin rating based on

7/27 fights

Tsarukyan

Ismagulov

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

5-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

W · Sub · R2

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

W · KO · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Tsarukyan

Ismagulov

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tsarukyan

Ismagulov

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.4

2.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.4

1.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

1.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

2.1

5.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

9.4

Tsarukyan

Strike Zones

Ismagulov

Tsarukyan

Attacking

13 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Ismagulov

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

13 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Tsarukyan targets the body (46% of attacks) — Ismagulov absorbs 46% of strikes there

🎯Ismagulov targets the body (50% of attacks) — Tsarukyan absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tsarukyan

RND

Ismagulov

0/0R00/0

Tsarukyan · Last 5

Upcoming

Mauricio Ruffy

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09

W · Sub · R2

Dan Hooker

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

W · Dec · R3

Charles Oliveira

Decision

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

W · KO · R1

Beneil Dariush

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

W · KO · R3

Joaquim Silva

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

Ismagulov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Grant Dawson

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07

L · Dec · R3

Arman Tsarukyan

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12

W · Dec · R3

Guram Kutateladze

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06

W · Dec · R3

Rafael Alves

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05

W · Dec · R3

Thiago Moises

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang · 2019-08

News & Media

Arman Tsarukyan · Damir Ismagulov

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