UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
17 Dec 2022
Lightweight
VS
66%
Tsarukyan
34%
Ismagulov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Arman
Arman Tsarukyan
"Ahalkalakets"
23 – 3
5'7"72" reachOrthodox29 yrs5-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 68
DI
Damir Ismagulov
"Qazaq"
24 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tsarukyan

Tsarukyan holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Ismagulov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tsarukyan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Tsarukyan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Tsarukyan
Ismagulov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
72"
Reach
+74"
29+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tsarukyan
Ismagulov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.5
35.4
58.4
Performance Avg
43.6
42
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
65
Tsarukyan
Ismagulov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.0
55%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
6
Body
6
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance6
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Tsarukyan
Ismagulov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tsarukyan
Ismagulov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/27 fights
Tsarukyan
Ismagulov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Tsarukyan
Ismagulov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tsarukyan
Ismagulov
Striking5.7 / 1.4Volume5.7 / 9.4Grappling2.0 / 2.4Wrestling1.4 / 1.7Submission1.0 / 0.0Pressure6.0 / 2.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.1
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.4
Tsarukyan
Strike Zones
Ismagulov
Tsarukyan
Attacking
5HEAD6BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD6BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Ismagulov
Attacking
5HEAD6BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD6BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tsarukyan targets the body (46% of attacks) — Ismagulov absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Ismagulov targets the body (50% of attacks) — Tsarukyan absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tsarukyan
RND
Ismagulov
0/0R00/0

Tsarukyan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0107.5L4.5W4.5W4.7W5.2W6.5W6.6L4.5W6.1W6.0W5.9W6.0W2019-042021-012022-062023-122025-11
WinLossTrend

Ismagulov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W5.8W4.7W4.5W4.6W7.1L7.0L2018-122019-082022-062023-07
WinLossTrend

Tsarukyan · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Dan HookerRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · KO · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Damir IsmagulovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12

Ismagulov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Grant DawsonRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Guram KutateladzeRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Rafael AlvesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Thiago MoisesRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang · 2019-08

News & Media

Arman Tsarukyan · Damir Ismagulov
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