The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale
Las Vegas, USA
11 Dec 2015
Featherweight
VS
53%
Kawajiri
47%
Knight
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kawajiri
This is a genuine toss-up — Kawajiri at 53% vs Knight at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Knight has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Kawajiri
Knight
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+71"
48
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kawajiri
Knight
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
14.1
39.9
Performance Avg
40.2
33
Quality of Victory
37
55
Momentum Score
26
Kawajiri
Knight
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
1.2
36%
Strike Accuracy
38%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
14
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance6
0Clinch2
3Ground6
Kawajiri
Knight
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kawajiri
Knight
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
70
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/47 fights
Chin rating based on
9/25 fights
Kawajiri
Knight
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Kawajiri
Knight
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kawajiri
Knight
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
KawajiriKnight
Strike Zones
Kawajiri
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedKnight
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kawajiri targets the head (71% of attacks) — Knight absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Knight targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kawajiri absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kawajiri
RND
Knight
0/0R00/0
Kawajiri · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Knight · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Kawajiri · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Jason KnightRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
Knight · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jordan RinaldiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
W · KO · R3
Chas SkellyRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05