UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
22 Oct 2022
Welterweight
VS
88%
Nurmagomedov
12%
Omargadzhiev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AN
Abubakar Nurmagomedov
17 – 4
5'11"72" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 30
GO
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev
13 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsSwitch71" reach6'1"
CFR 4

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nurmagomedov

Nurmagomedov is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nurmagomedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Nurmagomedov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Nurmagomedov
Omargadzhiev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"+
Reach
71"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Nurmagomedov
Omargadzhiev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.8
4.2
35.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
56
Momentum Score
0
Nurmagomedov
Omargadzhiev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.7
61%
Strike Accuracy
32%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
13
3
Body
2
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
27Distance12
1Clinch4
0Ground0
Nurmagomedov
Omargadzhiev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nurmagomedov
Omargadzhiev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/21 fights
Chin rating based on
2/15 fights
Nurmagomedov
Omargadzhiev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Nurmagomedov
Omargadzhiev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nurmagomedov
Omargadzhiev
Striking1.0 / 0.0Volume9.0 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Nurmagomedov
Strike Zones
Omargadzhiev
Nurmagomedov
Attacking
20HEAD3BODY5LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Omargadzhiev
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD3BODY5LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (71% of attacks) — Omargadzhiev absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Omargadzhiev targets the head (81% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 81% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nurmagomedov
RND
Omargadzhiev
0/0R00/0

Nurmagomedov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.0W4.5W6.0L2019-112021-032022-102023-06
WinLossTrend

Omargadzhiev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.2
0106.9L5.5L2022-042022-10
WinLossTrend

Nurmagomedov · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Gadzhi OmargadzhievRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenRating 5
Decision
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · Sub · R1
David ZawadaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11

Omargadzhiev · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Abubakar NurmagomedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04

News & Media

Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Gadzhi Omargadzhiev
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