METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2025
Women's Bantamweight
VS
46%
Croden
54%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Luana SantoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Melissa Croden · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Croden at 46% vs Santos at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CrodenSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Croden
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
67"
35
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Croden
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.9
67.3
49.2
Performance Avg
58.1
38
Quality of Victory
40
79
Momentum Score
100
Croden
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.3
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
6.1
5.3
Style: Volume
5.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
1
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Croden
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Croden
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
7/12 fights
Croden
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
100
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Croden
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Croden
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
CrodenSantos
Strike Zones
Croden
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedSantos
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Croden targets the head (40% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Croden
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Croden · Last 4
Upcoming
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