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UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Jacksonville, USA
24 Jun 2023
Welterweight
VS
45%
Magny
55%
Rowe
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
Neil
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31 – 15
6'3"80" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 48
Phil
Phil Rowe
"The Fresh Prince"
11 – 7
Knockout Artist2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'3"
CFR 57
β˜… Official Result
Neil MagnywinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Phil Rowe Β· UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rowe
β†’
Actual result
Magny wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Magny at 45% vs Rowe at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rowe has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 17 points.

Rowe has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MagnyRowe
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Magny
Rowe
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
80"
Reach
80"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magny
Rowe
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.5
57.0
47.4
Performance Avg
49.3
36
Quality of Victory
53
75
Momentum Score
52
Magny
Rowe
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
8
2
Body
1
1
Leg
8
RangeRange
11Distance16
6Clinch1
0Ground0
Magny
Rowe
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
β€”
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Magny
Rowe
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
90
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
β€”
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
β€”
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
37/46 fights
Chin rating based on
9/18 fights
Magny
Rowe
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
75
52
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Sub Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Magny
Rowe
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
14
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Magny
Rowe
Striking4.2 / 10.0Volume6.0 / 0.9Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure4.9 / 8.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
Magny
Strike Zones
Rowe
Magny
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY8LEGS17 absorbed
Rowe
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY8LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the head (82% of attacks) β€” Rowe absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Rowe targets the head (47% of attacks) β€” Magny absorbs 47% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Magny
RND
Rowe
0/0R00/0

Magny Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W4.6W5.2W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L4.5W4.8W5.5W1.5L4.5W1.7L4.5W5.0W3.9L5.3W4.5W4.8W6.3L5.5W5.1W4.8L6.4W1.7L5.6W7.0L7.3W3.6L3.7L5.8W6.5W3.7L2013-022015-082020-032023-082025-12
WinLossTrend

Rowe Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.1
0106.3L5.2W5.2W6.2W6.1L6.5L5.5W6.8L6.8L2021-022022-122025-062026-02
WinLossTrend

Magny Β· Last 5

L Β· Sub Β· R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape Β· 2025-12
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes Β· 2025-09
W Β· KO Β· R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park Β· 2025-08
L Β· KO Β· R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates Β· 2024-11
L Β· KO Β· R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho Β· 2024-08

Rowe Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez Β· 2026-02
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Seokhyeon KoRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama Β· 2025-11
W Β· KO Β· R3
Ange LoosaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley Β· 2025-06
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier Β· 2024-06
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria Β· 2023-06

News & Media

Neil Magny Β· Phil Rowe
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