UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Jacksonville, USA
24 Jun 2023
Welterweight
VS
45%
Magny
55%
Rowe
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rowe
This is a genuine toss-up — Magny at 45% vs Rowe at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rowe has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Rowe has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Magny
Rowe
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
80"
Reach
80"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magny
Rowe
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.5
57.0
47.4
Performance Avg
49.3
36
Quality of Victory
53
75
Momentum Score
52
Magny
Rowe
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
8
2
Body
1
1
Leg
8
RangeRange
11Distance16
6Clinch1
0Ground0
Magny
Rowe
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Magny
Rowe
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
90
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/46 fights
Chin rating based on
9/18 fights
Magny
Rowe
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
52
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Magny
Rowe
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
14
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magny
Rowe
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
MagnyRowe
Strike Zones
Magny
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedRowe
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the head (82% of attacks) — Rowe absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Rowe targets the head (47% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magny
RND
Rowe
0/0R00/0
Magny · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Rowe · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.1WinLossTrend
Magny · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7Submission
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W · Sub · R3
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W · KO · R2
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L · KO · R1
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L · KO · R1
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Rowe · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniRating 6.8Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Seokhyeon KoRating 6.8Decision
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W · KO · R3
Ange LoosaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

