UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis
Nashville, USA
23 Mar 2019
Lightweight
VS
70%
Makdessi
30%
Pinedo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Makdessi
Makdessi is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Makdessi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Makdessi
Pinedo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
41
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Makdessi
Pinedo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
13.5
42.2
Performance Avg
35.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
51
Momentum Score
46
Makdessi
Pinedo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.1
51%
Strike Accuracy
38%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
11
1
Body
5
17
Leg
1
RangeRange
31Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Makdessi
Pinedo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makdessi
Pinedo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Makdessi
Pinedo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
46
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Makdessi
Pinedo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makdessi
Pinedo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
MakdessiPinedo
Strike Zones
Makdessi
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedPinedo
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makdessi targets the legs (55% of attacks) — Pinedo absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Pinedo targets the head (65% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makdessi
RND
Pinedo
0/0R00/0
Makdessi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Pinedo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Makdessi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.7Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Jesus PinedoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Pinedo · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Devin PowellRating 4.5Decision
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