METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
Brooklyn, USA
11 Feb 2017
Middleweight
VS
54%
Souza
46%
Boetsch
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:41
★ Official Result
Jacare SouzawinsSubmissionR1 · 3:41
def. Tim Boetsch · UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Souza
→
Actual result
Souza wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Souza at 54% vs Boetsch at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Souza has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Souza throws more volume but Boetsch connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Souza's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Boetsch has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SouzaBoetsch
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Souza
Boetsch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+74"
46
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Souza
Boetsch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
16.6
54.6
Performance Avg
46.0
53
Quality of Victory
43
56
Momentum Score
69
Souza
Boetsch
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.3
56%
Strike Accuracy
57%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
2
Body
0
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
5Distance6
1Clinch0
1Ground0
Souza
Boetsch
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Souza
Boetsch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/36 fights
Chin rating based on
24/34 fights
Souza
Boetsch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
69
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Souza
Boetsch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
58%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Souza
Boetsch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
SouzaBoetsch
Strike Zones
Souza
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedBoetsch
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Souza targets the head (71% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Boetsch targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Souza
RND
Boetsch
0/0R00/0
Souza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Boetsch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Souza · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizRating 2.4Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kevin HollandRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · Dec · R5
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack HermanssonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
Boetsch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11