UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2012
Welterweight
VS
51%
Koscheck
49%
Pierce
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JK
Josh Koscheck
17 – 11
5'10"73" reachOrthodox48 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
MP
Mike Pierce
17 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'8"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Koscheck

This is a genuine toss-up — Koscheck at 51% vs Pierce at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Pierce has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Koscheck's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Koscheck
Pierce
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
71"
48
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Koscheck
Pierce
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
16.5
50.5
Performance Avg
48.0
44
Quality of Victory
37
59
Momentum Score
38
Koscheck
Pierce
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.6
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
9
5
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance7
3Clinch4
0Ground0
Koscheck
Pierce
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Koscheck
Pierce
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
80
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/28 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Koscheck
Pierce
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
38
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Koscheck
Pierce
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
44%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Koscheck
Pierce
Striking5.2 / 4.6Volume4.4 / 5.7Grappling2.6 / 2.2Wrestling1.8 / 1.6Submission2.0 / 1.1Pressure6.0 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Koscheck
Strike Zones
Pierce
Koscheck
Attacking
8HEAD5BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Pierce
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD5BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Koscheck targets the head (62% of attacks) — Pierce absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Pierce targets the head (82% of attacks) — Koscheck absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Koscheck
RND
Pierce
0/0R00/0

Koscheck · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W4.0L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L1.8L1.5L2.8L1.5L2005-042007-042009-092013-022015-03
WinLossTrend

Pierce · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.5L4.5W5.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.2W1.5L5.5L2009-092011-022012-062013-102015-12
WinLossTrend

Koscheck · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Jake EllenbergerRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Robbie LawlerRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05

Pierce · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · Sub · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
David MitchellRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Seth BaczynskiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10

News & Media

Josh Koscheck · Mike Pierce
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