METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jan 2015
Lightweight
VS
44%
Castillo
56%
Felder
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:09
★ Official Result
Paul FelderwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:09
def. Danny Castillo · UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Felder
→
Actual result
Felder wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Castillo at 44% vs Felder at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Castillo's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CastilloFelder
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Castillo
Felder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
71"+
Reach
70"
47
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Castillo
Felder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
21.7
40.6
Performance Avg
49.0
34
Quality of Victory
42
89
Momentum Score
100
Castillo
Felder
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
5.7
6.7
Style: Volume
4.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
2
Body
3
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
6Distance11
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Castillo
Felder
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Castillo
Felder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/27 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Castillo
Felder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Castillo
Felder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
56%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Castillo
Felder
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
CastilloFelder
Strike Zones
Castillo
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedFelder
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Castillo targets the head (67% of attacks) — Felder absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Felder targets the head (46% of attacks) — Castillo absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Castillo
RND
Felder
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Castillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzDecision
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Jim MillerDecision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Paul FelderKO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonDecision
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08
W · KO · R2
Charlie BrennemanKO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
Felder · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Rafael Dos AnjosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Dec · R5
Dan HookerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaDecision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
James VickDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Mike PerryDecision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07