UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2023
Lightweight
VS
52%
Vannata
48%
Zellhuber
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Lando
Lando Vannata
"Groovy"
12 – 8
5'9"71" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Daniel
Daniel Zellhuber
"Golden Boy"
15 – 4
Well-Rounded3-fight slide26 yrsSwitch77" reach6'1"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vannata

This is a genuine toss-up — Vannata at 52% vs Zellhuber at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Zellhuber throws more volume but Vannata connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Vannata's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Vannata
Zellhuber
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+77"
34
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Vannata
Zellhuber
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.9
42.8
37.9
Performance Avg
37.0
41
Quality of Victory
33
70
Momentum Score
55
Vannata
Zellhuber
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
34%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
13
4
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance14
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Vannata
Zellhuber
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Vannata
Zellhuber
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Vannata
Zellhuber
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
55
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Vannata
Zellhuber
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vannata
Zellhuber
Striking3.2 / 0.9Volume4.7 / 6.2Grappling3.2 / 4.3Wrestling2.2 / 3.0Submission2.5 / 3.3Pressure4.5 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Vannata
Strike Zones
Zellhuber
Vannata
Attacking
7HEAD4BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Zellhuber
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD4BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vannata targets the head (58% of attacks) — Zellhuber absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Zellhuber targets the head (81% of attacks) — Vannata absorbs 81% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vannata
RND
Zellhuber
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Vannata · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0103.3L5.0W5.5L6.5L5.0W5.6L4.5W6.2L4.5W2.3L5.9L3.5L2016-072018-072020-022022-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Zellhuber · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.6L5.0W5.4W5.2W6.2L5.6L3.5L2022-092023-092024-092026-02
WinLossTrend

Vannata · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Darrius FlowersRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles JourdainRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Mike GrundyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08

Zellhuber · Last 5

L · KO · R2
King GreenRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
W · Sub · R2
Christos GiagosRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

News & Media

Lando Vannata · Daniel Zellhuber
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