UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
47%
Griffin
53%
Ortiz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
FG
Forrest Griffin
19 – 7
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
TO
Tito Ortiz
"The People's Champ"
19 – 12
Well-Rounded3-fight slide51 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'3"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ortiz

This is a genuine toss-up — Griffin at 47% vs Ortiz at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Ortiz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Striking split: Griffin throws more volume but Ortiz connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Griffin's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ortiz has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Griffin
Ortiz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"+
Reach
74"
47+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Ortiz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
20.4
52.0
Performance Avg
57.3
42
Quality of Victory
57
82
Momentum Score
85
Griffin
Ortiz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.0
36%
Strike Accuracy
51%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
12
6
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
23Distance9
2Clinch0
0Ground3
Griffin
Ortiz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Ortiz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.4 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/26 fights
Chin rating based on
27/31 fights
Griffin
Ortiz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
85
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Griffin
Ortiz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Griffin
Ortiz
Striking2.3 / 5.8Volume6.9 / 3.8Grappling3.3 / 1.9Wrestling2.3 / 1.3Submission2.0 / 1.3Pressure4.1 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Griffin
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Griffin
Attacking
16HEAD6BODY3LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Ortiz
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD6BODY3LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (64% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Ortiz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Griffin
RND
Ortiz
0/0R00/0

Griffin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W1.5L4.5W5.5W4.5W2.8L1.5L4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W2005-042006-082008-072011-022012-07
WinLossTrend

Ortiz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W1.5L4.2W5.0W3.4L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.5L2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W2.8L5.5L5.5L5.5L5.0W2.8L1.5L5.5L1997-052001-022005-022010-102012-07
WinLossTrend

Griffin · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
W · Dec · R3
Rich FranklinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08

Ortiz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5
Submission
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10

News & Media

Forrest Griffin · Tito Ortiz
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