METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
Las Vegas, USA
7 Mar 2020
Women's Strawweight
VS
71%
Weili
29%
Jedrzejczyk
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Zhang WeiliwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Joanna Jedrzejczyk · UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Weili
→
Actual result
Weili wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Weili is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Weili has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Jedrzejczyk has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WeiliJedrzejczyk
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Weili
Jedrzejczyk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
63"
Reach
+65"
37+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Weili
Jedrzejczyk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.9
27.8
63.3
Performance Avg
52.9
54
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
58
Weili
Jedrzejczyk
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
3.4
6.3
Style: Volume
7.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
23
3
Body
9
10
Leg
14
RangeRange
37Distance44
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Weili
Jedrzejczyk
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Weili
Jedrzejczyk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
50
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/30 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Weili
Jedrzejczyk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
58
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Weili
Jedrzejczyk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
20%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Weili
Jedrzejczyk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
WeiliJedrzejczyk
Strike Zones
Weili
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedJedrzejczyk
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Weili targets the head (65% of attacks) — Jedrzejczyk absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Jedrzejczyk targets the head (50% of attacks) — Weili absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Weili
RND
Jedrzejczyk
0/0R00/0
Weili · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
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UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
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Amanda LemosDecision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Carla EsparzaSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Jedrzejczyk · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Zhang WeiliKO/TKO
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliDecision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R5
Michelle Waterson-GomezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoDecision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
