★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
Las Vegas, USA
7 Mar 2020
Women's Strawweight
VS
72%
Weili
28%
Jedrzejczyk
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Weili
Weili is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Weili has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Jedrzejczyk throws more volume but Weili connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Jedrzejczyk has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Weili
Jedrzejczyk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
63"
Reach
+65"
36+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Weili
Jedrzejczyk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
71.6
27.8
66.9
Performance Avg
52.9
60
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
58
Weili
Jedrzejczyk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.7
56%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
23
3
Body
9
10
Leg
14
RangeRange
37Distance44
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Weili
Jedrzejczyk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.0
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Weili
Jedrzejczyk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
50
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/30 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Weili
Jedrzejczyk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
58
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Weili
Jedrzejczyk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
20%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Weili
Jedrzejczyk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
WeiliJedrzejczyk
Strike Zones
Weili
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedJedrzejczyk
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Weili targets the head (65% of attacks) — Jedrzejczyk absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Jedrzejczyk targets the head (50% of attacks) — Weili absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Weili
RND
Jedrzejczyk
0/0R00/0
Weili · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Jedrzejczyk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Weili · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Tatiana SuarezRating 6.4Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Yan XiaonanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Amanda LemosRating 5.6Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Carla EsparzaRating 5.4Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Jedrzejczyk · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Zhang WeiliRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R5
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07