METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Nashville, USA
22 Apr 2017
Lightweight
VS
92%
Holtzman
8%
McBride
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Scott HoltzmanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Michael McBride · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holtzman
→
Actual result
Holtzman wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Holtzman is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holtzman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
Risk flags
Holtzman's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HoltzmanMcBride
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holtzman
McBride
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
69"
Reach
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holtzman
McBride
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
2.1
40.6
Performance Avg
0.0
32
Quality of Victory
0
53
Momentum Score
0
Holtzman
McBride
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.7
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
22
2
Body
4
14
Leg
3
RangeRange
29Distance25
0Clinch0
18Ground4
Holtzman
McBride
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holtzman
McBride
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Holtzman
McBride
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Holtzman
McBride
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holtzman
McBride
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HoltzmanMcBride
Strike Zones
Holtzman
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedMcBride
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holtzman targets the head (66% of attacks) — McBride absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯McBride targets the head (76% of attacks) — Holtzman absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holtzman
RND
McBride
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Holtzman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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McBride · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · KO · R2
Nik LentzKO/TKO
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