METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
Tampa, USA
14 Dec 2024
Featherweight
VS
41%
Johns
59%
Lima
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Felipe LimawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Miles Johns · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lima
→
Actual result
Lima wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Johns at 41% vs Lima at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Johns's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsLima
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johns
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
68"
32
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johns
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.8
54.6
45.6
Performance Avg
49.0
37
Quality of Victory
32
10
Momentum Score
72
Johns
Lima
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.5
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
4.6
5.7
Style: Volume
6.8
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
9
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance10
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Johns
Lima
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johns
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Johns
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
72
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Johns
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johns
Lima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
JohnsLima
Strike Zones
Johns
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedLima
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johns targets the head (75% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the head (82% of attacks) — Johns absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johns
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0
Johns · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Gianni VazquezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · Sub · R2
Daniel MarcosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Felipe LimaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
Lima · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Morgan CharriereDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottDecision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Sub · R3
Muhammad NaimovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06