UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
Tampa, USA
14 Dec 2024
Featherweight
VS
39%
Johns
61%
Lima
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Miles
Miles Johns
"Chapo"
15 – 5
5'7"68" reachOrthodox32 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 35
Felipe
Felipe Lima
"Jungle Boy"
14 – 2
Well-Rounded28 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lima

Lima holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Johns has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Johns has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Johns's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johns
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
68"
32
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johns
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.7
54.7
41.8
Performance Avg
47.7
33
Quality of Victory
35
10
Momentum Score
68
Johns
Lima
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.5
40%
Strike Accuracy
35%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
9
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance10
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Johns
Lima
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johns
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Johns
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
68
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Johns
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johns
Lima
Striking4.4 / 1.3Volume6.4 / 5.3Grappling1.6 / 5.2Wrestling1.1 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure4.0 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Johns
Strike Zones
Lima
Johns
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Lima
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johns targets the head (75% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the head (82% of attacks) — Johns absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johns
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0

Johns · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W3.8L5.5W5.5W4.8L4.5W4.7W4.7W6.5L6.4L4.0L2019-092021-082024-032025-082025-11
WinLossTrend

Lima · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.1
0106.7W4.5W7.0L2024-062024-122025-06
WinLossTrend

Johns · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Daniel MarcosRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Felipe LimaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

Lima · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 7
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Sub · R3
Muhammad NaimovRating 6.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06

News & Media

Miles Johns · Felipe Lima
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