METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
Tampa, USA
14 Dec 2024
Featherweight
VS
39%
Johns
61%
Lima
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Felipe LimawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Miles Johns · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lima
→
Actual result
Lima wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lima holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Johns has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johns has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johns's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsLima
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johns
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
68"
32
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johns
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.7
54.7
41.8
Performance Avg
47.7
33
Quality of Victory
35
10
Momentum Score
68
Johns
Lima
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.5
40%
Strike Accuracy
35%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
9
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance10
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Johns
Lima
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johns
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Johns
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
68
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Johns
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johns
Lima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
JohnsLima
Strike Zones
Johns
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedLima
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johns targets the head (75% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the head (82% of attacks) — Johns absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johns
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0
Johns · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Lima · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.1WinLossTrend
Johns · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel MarcosRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Felipe LimaRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
Lima · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 7Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Sub · R3
Muhammad NaimovRating 6.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06