UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver
Boston, USA
18 Jan 2015
Lightweight
VS
47%
Lipeng
53%
Wade
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Wade
This is a genuine toss-up — Lipeng at 47% vs Wade at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lipeng has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Wade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Lipeng
Wade
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
36+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lipeng
Wade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
20.8
57.5
Performance Avg
50.5
63
Quality of Victory
37
39
Momentum Score
88
Lipeng
Wade
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
0.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
56%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
0
Body
1
2
Leg
7
RangeRange
0Distance0
3Clinch9
1Ground5
Lipeng
Wade
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lipeng
Wade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Lipeng
Wade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
88
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Lipeng
Wade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lipeng
Wade
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
LipengWade
Strike Zones
Lipeng
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedWade
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lipeng targets the head (50% of attacks) — Wade absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Wade targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Lipeng absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lipeng
RND
Wade
0/0R00/0
Lipeng · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Wade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Lipeng · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Chris WadeRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Brendan O'ReillyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
W · Dec · R3
Sai WangRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
Wade · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Frankie PerezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Islam MakhachevRating 7.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Sub · R1
Mehdi BaghdadRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Christos GiagosRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06