UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka
Dublin, Ireland
24 Oct 2015
Featherweight
VS
74%
Elkins
26%
Whiteford
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Darren
Darren Elkins
"The Damage"
29 – 12
5'10"71" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 45
RW
Robert Whiteford
"The Hammer"
14 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrsSouthpaw69" reach5'9"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Elkins

Elkins is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Elkins throws more volume but Whiteford connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Elkins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Elkins
Whiteford
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
69"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Elkins
Whiteford
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.7
15.4
46.3
Performance Avg
41.5
35
Quality of Victory
43
66
Momentum Score
33
Elkins
Whiteford
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.8
38%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
5
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance7
0Clinch0
15Ground0
Elkins
Whiteford
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elkins
Whiteford
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
5/18 fights
Elkins
Whiteford
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Elkins
Whiteford
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
37%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Elkins
Whiteford
Striking3.4 / 5.8Volume6.3 / 4.8Grappling2.8 / 1.2Wrestling1.9 / 0.8Submission1.6 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Elkins
Strike Zones
Whiteford
Elkins
Attacking
20HEAD0BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Whiteford
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD0BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Elkins targets the head (100% of attacks) — Whiteford absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Whiteford targets the head (71% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Elkins
RND
Whiteford
0/0R00/0

Elkins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W2.9L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W6.0L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W5.3W7.0L4.0L5.5L6.2L5.5W5.2W2.0L4.5W6.0L5.5W5.4W1.7L2010-032013-082017-072021-122025-04
WinLossTrend

Whiteford · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L5.4W5.0W6.0L5.5L2013-102014-032015-072015-102016-04
WinLossTrend

Elkins · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Tristan ConnellyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

Whiteford · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Lucas MartinsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · KO · R1
Paul RedmondRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
L · Sub · R2
Jimy HettesRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10

News & Media

Darren Elkins · Robert Whiteford
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