Henry Cejudo vs Marlon Moraes — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight

UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes

Chicago, USA

8 Jun 2019

Bantamweight

75%

Cejudo

25%

Moraes

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 3 · 4:51

Henry Cejudo

"Triple C"

16 – 6

5'4"64" reachOrthodox39 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 65

Marlon Moraes

"Magic"

23 – 10

Well-Rounded4-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"

CFR 22

★ Official Result

Henry CejudowinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:51

def. Marlon Moraes · UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Cejudo

→

Actual result

Cejudo wins

KO/TKO · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Cejudo is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Cejudo's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moraes has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

CejudoMoraes

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Cejudo

Moraes

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'4"

Height

+5'6"

64"

Reach

+67"

Age

+38

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Cejudo

Moraes

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

65.3

21.5

58.4

Performance Avg

47.3

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Cejudo

Moraes

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.3

/ 10

4.9

/ 10

4.7

Style: Pressure

5.6

6.0

Style: Volume

4.1

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

13Distance8

8Clinch1

26Ground1

Cejudo

Moraes

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.4

/ 10

2.6

/ 10

1.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.8

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

2.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Cejudo

Moraes

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

4 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.8 stoppage

11 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

16/22 fights

Chin rating based on

11/33 fights

Cejudo

Moraes

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 📉 slide

Current form

4-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · KO · R2

Last 5

L · KO · R1

L · KO · R2

L · KO · R1

L · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

Cejudo

Moraes

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

40%

60%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cejudo

Moraes

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.3

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.9

1.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.6

1.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.8

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.0

4.7

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.6

6.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.1

Cejudo

Strike Zones

Moraes

Cejudo

Attacking

47 landed

Absorbing

10 absorbed

Moraes

Attacking

10 landed

Absorbing

47 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Cejudo targets the head (83% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 83% of strikes there

🎯Moraes targets the head (70% of attacks) — Cejudo absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cejudo

RND

Moraes

0/0R00/0

Cejudo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Payton Talbott

Decision

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12

L · Dec · R3

Song Yadong

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

L · Dec · R3

Merab Dvalishvili

Decision

UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

L · Dec · R5

Aljamain Sterling

Decision

UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

W · KO · R2

Dominick Cruz

KO/TKO

UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05

Moraes · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Song Yadong

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03

L · KO · R2

Merab Dvalishvili

KO/TKO

UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09

L · KO · R1

Rob Font

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12

L · KO · R2

Cory Sandhagen

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10

W · Dec · R3

Jose Aldo

Decision

UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12

News & Media

Henry Cejudo · Marlon Moraes

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