UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2017
Heavyweight
VS
22%
Omielanczuk
78%
Blaydes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DO
Daniel Omielanczuk
19 – 8
6'0"74" reachSouthpaw43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
Curtis
Curtis Blaydes
"Razor"
19 – 6
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'4"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Blaydes

Blaydes is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Blaydes throws more volume but Omielanczuk connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Blaydes has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Omielanczuk
Blaydes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
74"
Reach
+80"
43
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Omielanczuk
Blaydes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.0
53.9
41.8
Performance Avg
53.4
40
Quality of Victory
42
30
Momentum Score
81
Omielanczuk
Blaydes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.6
61%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
20
2
Body
11
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
18Distance19
2Clinch2
0Ground13
Omielanczuk
Blaydes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Omielanczuk
Blaydes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
8
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/27 fights
Chin rating based on
21/25 fights
Omielanczuk
Blaydes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
81
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Omielanczuk
Blaydes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Omielanczuk
Blaydes
Striking5.9 / 6.4Volume4.9 / 4.8Grappling1.2 / 1.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Omielanczuk
Strike Zones
Blaydes
Omielanczuk
Attacking
15HEAD2BODY3LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD11BODY3LEGS34 absorbed
Blaydes
Attacking
20HEAD11BODY3LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD2BODY3LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Omielanczuk targets the head (75% of attacks) — Blaydes absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Blaydes targets the head (59% of attacks) — Omielanczuk absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Omielanczuk
RND
Blaydes
0/0R00/0

Omielanczuk · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W2.8L5.5L6.4L2013-092015-072016-102017-07
WinLossTrend

Blaydes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2L5.2W4.5W4.2W4.5W5.5W1.9L4.5W5.2W5.1W5.8W3.3L5.6W5.5W7.4W2.7L7.0W3.9L4.8W7.5L2016-042018-062020-062023-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Omielanczuk · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Curtis BlaydesRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Timothy JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Sub · R2
Stefan StruveRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Jarjis DanhoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02

Blaydes · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Josh HokitRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04

News & Media

Daniel Omielanczuk · Curtis Blaydes
← Back to fights