UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
Seattle, USA
27 Jul 2013
Lightweight
VS
55%
Edwards
45%
Cruickshank
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
YE
Yves Edwards
42 – 22
5'9"73" reachSouthpaw49 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
DC
Daron Cruickshank
"Detroit Superstar"
18 – 10
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsSwitch72" reach5'8"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Edwards

This is a genuine toss-up — Edwards at 55% vs Cruickshank at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Edwards has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Edwards's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cruickshank has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Edwards
Cruickshank
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
72"
49
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Edwards
Cruickshank
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
15.9
47.6
Performance Avg
44.5
46
Quality of Victory
41
85
Momentum Score
48
Edwards
Cruickshank
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
37%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
1
Body
7
11
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Edwards
Cruickshank
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edwards
Cruickshank
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
48
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/64 fights
Chin rating based on
13/28 fights
Edwards
Cruickshank
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
48
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Edwards
Cruickshank
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edwards
Cruickshank
Striking6.0 / 6.0Volume3.4 / 5.0Grappling2.3 / 1.2Wrestling1.6 / 0.8Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure6.4 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Edwards
Strike Zones
Cruickshank
Edwards
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY11LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD7BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Cruickshank
Attacking
3HEAD7BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY11LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the legs (85% of attacks) — Cruickshank absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Cruickshank targets the body (58% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Edwards
RND
Cruickshank
0/0R00/0

Edwards · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L5.5L5.0W5.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W2.8L4.8L4.5W5.2W1.5L5.2W6.0L5.5W5.5L5.5L4.0L1.5L2001-092003-112010-092012-122014-11
WinLossTrend

Cruickshank · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.8L5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W3.7L1.5L4.0L2012-062013-072014-052015-032016-01
WinLossTrend

Edwards · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Akbarh ArreolaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Sub · R3
Piotr HallmannRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Upcoming
Yancy Medeiros
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Daron CruickshankRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02

Cruickshank · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Paul FelderRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
L · Sub · R1
James KrauseRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · Sub · R2
Beneil DariushRating 3.7
Submission
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
Upcoming
KJ Noons
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12
W · Dec · R3
Anthony NjokuaniRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10

News & Media

Yves Edwards · Daron Cruickshank
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