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UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa
Paris, France
3 Sept 2022
Middleweight
VS
59%
Magomedov
41%
Stoltzfus
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:19
Abus
Abus Magomedov
287
6'2"78" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Dustin
Dustin Stoltzfus
168
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 35
★ Official Result
Abus MagomedovwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:19
def. Dustin Stoltzfus · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Magomedov
Actual result
Magomedov wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Magomedov at 59% vs Stoltzfus at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Stoltzfus throws more volume but Magomedov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Magomedov's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Stoltzfus has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MagomedovStoltzfus
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Magomedov
Stoltzfus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
75"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magomedov
Stoltzfus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
34.6
46.1
Performance Avg
38.9
39
Quality of Victory
45
63
Momentum Score
10
Magomedov
Stoltzfus
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.2
53%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
2Clinch0
2Ground0
Magomedov
Stoltzfus
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Magomedov
Stoltzfus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
26
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
8/35 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Magomedov
Stoltzfus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
10
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Magomedov
Stoltzfus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Magomedov
Stoltzfus
Striking3.6 / 3.9Volume5.1 / 3.3Grappling3.2 / 3.5Wrestling2.2 / 2.4Submission2.5 / 3.3Pressure5.2 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Magomedov
Strike Zones
Stoltzfus
Magomedov
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Stoltzfus
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Magomedov targets the head (86% of attacks) — Stoltzfus absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Magomedov
RND
Stoltzfus
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Magomedov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W3.3L6.9L4.7W7.1W5.1W4.8L2022-092023-112024-102025-10
WinLossTrend

Stoltzfus · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0106.1L5.3L5.1L4.5W2.3L6.2W3.1L5.0W7.4L5.8L2020-112022-072024-062025-09
WinLossTrend

Magomedov · Last 5

Upcoming
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Submission
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Decision
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Submission
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W · Dec · R3
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Decision
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Stoltzfus · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevRating 7.4
Decision
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W · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5
KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraRating 3.1
KO/TKO
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W · Sub · R2
Punahele SorianoRating 6.2
Submission
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News & Media

Abus Magomedov · Dustin Stoltzfus
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