UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa
Paris, France
3 Sept 2022
Middleweight
VS
59%
Magomedov
41%
Stoltzfus
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Magomedov
This is a genuine toss-up — Magomedov at 59% vs Stoltzfus at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Stoltzfus throws more volume but Magomedov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Magomedov's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stoltzfus has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Magomedov
Stoltzfus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
75"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magomedov
Stoltzfus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
34.6
46.1
Performance Avg
38.9
39
Quality of Victory
45
63
Momentum Score
10
Magomedov
Stoltzfus
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.2
53%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
2Clinch0
2Ground0
Magomedov
Stoltzfus
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Magomedov
Stoltzfus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
26
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/35 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Magomedov
Stoltzfus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
10
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Magomedov
Stoltzfus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magomedov
Stoltzfus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
MagomedovStoltzfus
Strike Zones
Magomedov
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedStoltzfus
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magomedov targets the head (86% of attacks) — Stoltzfus absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magomedov
RND
Stoltzfus
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Magomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Stoltzfus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Magomedov · Last 5
Upcoming
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