UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar
Las Vegas, USA
22 Aug 2020
Welterweight
VS
70%
Rodriguez
30%
Grant
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rodriguez
Rodriguez is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rodriguez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grant has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rodriguez
Grant
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
+76"
39+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Rodriguez
Grant
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.3
23.2
50.7
Performance Avg
37.0
37
Quality of Victory
37
70
Momentum Score
59
Rodriguez
Grant
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.9
1.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
25
3
Body
2
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
11Distance13
0Clinch0
4Ground17
Rodriguez
Grant
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rodriguez
Grant
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
50
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/25 fights
Chin rating based on
8/17 fights
Rodriguez
Grant
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
59
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Rodriguez
Grant
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Grant
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
RodriguezGrant
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedGrant
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (67% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Grant targets the head (83% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Grant
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R30/0
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Grant · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Ian Machado GarryRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
Grant · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Sergey KhandozhkoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Stefan SekulicRating 4.5Decision
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · KO · R1
Daniel RodriguezRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08