UFC 90: Silva vs Cote
Rosemont, USA
25 Oct 2008
Welterweight
VS
46%
Sell
54%
Burkman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JB
CFR 14
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Burkman
This is a genuine toss-up — Sell at 46% vs Burkman at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Burkman throws more volume but Sell connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sell's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burkman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sell
Burkman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sell
Burkman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.4
14.3
32.4
Performance Avg
34.7
35
Quality of Victory
36
50
Momentum Score
80
Sell
Burkman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
14
5
Body
2
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
30Distance16
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Sell
Burkman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sell
Burkman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
19/44 fights
Sell
Burkman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
80
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Sell
Burkman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sell
Burkman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
SellBurkman
Strike Zones
Sell
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedBurkman
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sell targets the head (81% of attacks) — Burkman absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Burkman targets the head (74% of attacks) — Sell absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sell
RND
Burkman
0/0R00/0
Sell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Burkman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Sell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Matt BrownRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
W · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · KO · R3
Nate QuarryRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
L · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04
L · KO · R2
Scott SmithRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
Burkman · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Zak OttowRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5Decision
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