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UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve
Rotterdam, Netherlands
2 Sept 2017
Heavyweight
VS
75%
Volkov
25%
Struve
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 Β· 3:30
Alexander
Alexander Volkov
"Drago"
40 – 11
6'7"80" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 60
SS
Stefan Struve
"Skyscraper"
33 – 13
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox84" reach6'11"
CFR 21
β˜… Official Result
Alexander VolkovwinsKO/TKOR3 Β· 3:30
def. Stefan Struve Β· UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Volkov
β†’
Actual result
Volkov wins
KO/TKO Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

Volkov is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Struve throws more volume but Volkov connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Volkov's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Struve has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
VolkovStruve
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Volkov
Struve
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'7"
Height
+6'11"
80"
Reach
+84"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Volkov
Struve
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.2
20.6
54.7
Performance Avg
51.7
42
Quality of Victory
50
88
Momentum Score
98
Volkov
Struve
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.8
1.8
58%
Strike Accuracy
52%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
10
5
Body
4
10
Leg
2
RangeRange
39Distance16
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Volkov
Struve
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
β€”
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Volkov
Struve
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
8
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
19/51 fights
Chin rating based on
24/46 fights
Volkov
Struve
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
88
98
2-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· Sub Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Volkov
Struve
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
85%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
6
7
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Volkov
Struve
Striking5.8 / 4.9Volume5.5 / 2.3Grappling1.8 / 4.1Wrestling1.2 / 2.8Submission0.7 / 4.6Pressure5.7 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.6
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
Volkov
Strike Zones
Struve
Volkov
Attacking
26HEAD5BODY10LEGS41 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD4BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Struve
Attacking
10HEAD4BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD5BODY10LEGS41 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Volkov targets the head (63% of attacks) β€” Struve absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Struve targets the head (63% of attacks) β€” Volkov absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Volkov
RND
Struve
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Volkov Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W4.5W5.2W5.4W5.2L4.5W6.4L5.2W5.1W7.2L4.9W3.9L6.1W5.8W5.7W5.7W7.2L6.3W6.0W2016-112019-112021-102024-062026-05
WinLossTrend

Struve Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W5.2W5.0W6.2W4.0L1.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.2W4.0L6.2L5.9L5.9W2.8L1.9L2009-022010-122013-032017-092020-10
WinLossTrend

Volkov Β· Last 5

W Β· Dec Β· R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland Β· 2026-05
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Jailton AlmeidaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane Β· 2025-10
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Ciryl GaneRating 7.2
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura Β· 2024-12
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov Β· 2024-06
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Tai TuivasaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland Β· 2023-09

Struve Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje Β· 2020-10
L Β· KO Β· R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik Β· 2019-12
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos Β· 2019-02
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith Β· 2018-07
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya Β· 2018-03

News & Media

Alexander Volkov Β· Stefan Struve
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