METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Perth, Australia
2 May 2026
Featherweight
VS
93%
Rahiki
7%
Schmid
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:47
★ Official Result
Marwan RahikiwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:47
def. Ollie Schmid · UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rahiki
→
Actual result
Rahiki wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Rahiki is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 76 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rahiki has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 58 points.
Rahiki has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RahikiSchmid
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rahiki
Schmid
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
72"+
Reach
71"
24+
Age
25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rahiki
Schmid
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
81.7
6.2
74.5
Performance Avg
0.0
58
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Rahiki
Schmid
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.8
3.6
56%
Strike Accuracy
30%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
0
2
Body
3
6
Leg
6
RangeRange
19Distance9
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Rahiki
Schmid
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Rahiki
Schmid
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/9 fights
Chin rating based on
1/7 fights
Rahiki
Schmid
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Rahiki
Schmid
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rahiki
Schmid
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
RahikiSchmid
Strike Zones
Rahiki
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedSchmid
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rahiki targets the head (64% of attacks) — Schmid absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Schmid targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Rahiki absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rahiki
RND
Schmid
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rahiki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Rahiki · Last 2
W · KO · R1
Ollie SchmidRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Harry HardwickRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
Schmid · Last 1
L · KO · R1
Marwan RahikiRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05