UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
15 Feb 2014
Lightweight
VS
33%
Marcello
67%
Proctor
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Proctor
Proctor holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Marcello has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Proctor has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Proctor has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Proctor has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Marcello
Proctor
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"
Reach
72"
48
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marcello
Proctor
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.7
19.3
25.0
Performance Avg
47.8
25
Quality of Victory
46
28
Momentum Score
79
Marcello
Proctor
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.0
37%
Strike Accuracy
38%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
33
5
Body
1
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance35
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Marcello
Proctor
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Marcello
Proctor
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
42
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/19 fights
Chin rating based on
8/16 fights
Marcello
Proctor
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Marcello
Proctor
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Marcello
Proctor
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
MarcelloProctor
Strike Zones
Marcello
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedProctor
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Marcello targets the head (47% of attacks) — Proctor absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Proctor targets the head (92% of attacks) — Marcello absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Marcello
RND
Proctor
0/0R00/0
Marcello · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Proctor · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Marcello · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Joe ProctorRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Kazuki TokudomeRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
W · Dec · R3
Reza MadadiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R2
Sam SiciliaRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
Proctor · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Bryan BarberenaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · KO · R1
Magomed MustafaevRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor · 2015-12
W · Sub · R3
Justin EdwardsRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Sub · R1
Yancy MedeirosRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12
W · KO · R2
Justin SalasRating 5.2KO/TKO
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