METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Las Vegas, USA
14 Mar 2026
Middleweight
VS
41%
Tavares
59%
Anders
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Eryk AnderswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Brad Tavares · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Anders
→
Actual result
Anders wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tavares at 41% vs Anders at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Anders has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Anders has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TavaresAnders
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tavares
Anders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
+75"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Tavares
Anders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
50.9
40.1
Performance Avg
45.4
29
Quality of Victory
41
49
Momentum Score
79
Tavares
Anders
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
5.1
8.1
Style: Volume
5.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
3
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Tavares
Anders
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tavares
Anders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/34 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Tavares
Anders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Tavares
Anders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
14
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tavares
Anders
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
TavaresAnders
Strike Zones
Tavares
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedAnders
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the head (92% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Anders targets the head (75% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tavares
RND
Anders
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tavares · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
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Anders · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresDecision
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L · KO · R1
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Chris WeidmanKO/TKO
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