UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Las Vegas, USA
14 Mar 2026
Middleweight
VS
41%
Tavares
59%
Anders
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Brad
Brad Tavares
21 – 13
6'1"74" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 36
Eryk
Eryk Anders
"Ya Boi"
18 – 9
Well-Rounded39 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'1"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Anders

This is a genuine toss-up — Tavares at 41% vs Anders at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Anders has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Anders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Anders has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Tavares
Anders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
+75"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Tavares
Anders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
50.9
40.1
Performance Avg
45.4
29
Quality of Victory
41
49
Momentum Score
79
Tavares
Anders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
45%
Strike Accuracy
53%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
3
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Tavares
Anders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tavares
Anders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/34 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Tavares
Anders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Tavares
Anders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
14
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tavares
Anders
Striking2.4 / 6.0Volume8.1 / 5.0Grappling2.1 / 1.2Wrestling1.5 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.6 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Tavares
Strike Zones
Anders
Tavares
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Anders
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the head (92% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Anders targets the head (75% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tavares
RND
Anders
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Tavares · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L2.8L4.5W2.4L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W6.9L2.9L4.5W4.5W7.4L2.8L5.3W5.6L6.6L5.6W4.9L6.3L2010-062014-012017-102023-042026-03
WinLossTrend

Anders · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W4.5W5.5L5.5W2.8L5.5L6.4L5.0W5.6W5.5L4.5W2.4L6.6L5.9W5.5L4.5W6.1W3.0L4.5W2017-072018-122021-062024-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Tavares · Last 5

Upcoming
Marc-Andre Barriault
UFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Robert BryczekRating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10

Anders · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R2
Chris WeidmanRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06

News & Media

Brad Tavares · Eryk Anders
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