METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2025
Middleweight
VS
48%
Almeida
52%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Cezary OleksiejczukwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cesar Almeida · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oleksiejczuk
→
Actual result
Oleksiejczuk wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Almeida at 48% vs Oleksiejczuk at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Almeida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Striking split: Almeida throws more volume but Oleksiejczuk connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlmeidaOleksiejczuk
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Almeida
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+75"
38
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Almeida
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.1
60.8
52.0
Performance Avg
55.0
47
Quality of Victory
25
58
Momentum Score
100
Almeida
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.2
59%
Strike Accuracy
100%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Almeida
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Almeida
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/9 fights
Chin rating based on
1/20 fights
Almeida
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
100
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Almeida
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Almeida
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
10.0
AlmeidaOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Almeida
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the body (100% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (67% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Almeida
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Almeida · Last 5
Upcoming
Damian PinasUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Cezary OleksiejczukRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · KO · R1
Abdul Razak AlhassanRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Ihor PotieriaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovRating 6.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Oleksiejczuk · Last 1
W · Dec · R3
Cesar AlmeidaRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12